Thursday 26 June 2008

A weekly update indeed

As I mentioned, there shall be weekly updates on this site. There will be. Thank you, the readers.

The Singapore market has seen a little intra-day spike today, in line with the Dow and Hang Seng. The Nikkei seems like it is beginning to decouple however, there is no clear indication of that in the near term.

Blue chips that I have been watching on the local market have dipped significantly with counters like Kep Corp now under $11 and F&N in the $4.50 range. Popular Yangzijiang shipbuilder has fallen approximately 10% in the past few weeks.

The Fed's "hold" stance on Fed funds rate has caused a short live exuberance to the market until the realisation that required rate of return shall remain low or the time being. This has made equities less attractive in this inflationary environment.

Back to the market, today's little "tombstone" candlestick could well spell the death of optimism that started just yesterday. The near term can be expected to be down. However, considering the Singapore market's coupling with the US and regional markets, I would not consider revising my target of 2950 +/- 50. The DOW has reached it's March levels. Market sentiment there is negative but March's recession fears have been softened. Significantly further downside is unlikely. Japan has been doing better than Hong Kong and Singapore, a slight divergence has been noticed in the past month. Hong Kong has been moving very closely in line with the Singapore market which can be observed to be taking cues from the US.

I am currently watching for a bottom, buying spree.

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